Roseland, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

549
FXUS63 KGID 011116
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
616 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible (20-40%) across
  the area this morning.
- Above normal temperatures Thursday-Saturday with highs in the
  mid 80s to low 90s.
- Thunderstorm chances return to the area Saturday night-early
  next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 313 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Today...
Temperatures this morning are currently in the 60s. A passing
shortwave combined with the Low Level Jet have resulted in scattered
shower/thunderstorm development west of Highway 281. These
showers/storms will continue to become more widespread over the next
few hours, with a north-south line of storms centered along Highway
281 around sunrise. These storms are not expected to be strong or
severe given weak shear and CAPE. Storms will decrease in coverage
during the mid-morning hours as they move into eastern portions of
the area and the LLJ weakens with any lingering rain ending around
noon. Skies clear this afternoon behind the departing shortwave
trough. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s are expected across the
area but could be lower/higher if cloud coverage is more/less
widespread. Breezy southerly winds gusting 20-25mph are expected
this afternoon. Clear skies and light winds tonight will result in
temperatures sinking into the mid 50s to low 60s.
Thursday and Friday...
Southwesterly flow aloft-weak ridging builds over the area on
Thursday as troughing moves into the west coast. Above normal
temperatures are expected over the area, with highs in the mid-upper
80s, around 10-15 degrees above their climatological normals. Sunny
skies and light winds will make for a pleasant day across the area
on Thursday.
Slightly warmer weather is expected on Friday as southerly flow
strengthens over the area. Highs will climb into the upper 80s with
some areas sneaking into the low 90s. Breezy southerly winds are
expected on Friday, gusting 20-30mph.
This Weekend Onwards...
An upper level trough moves into the Rockies on Saturday as ridging
builds over the Great Lakes. Another sunny and warm day is expected
on Saturday as highs once again climb into the mid-upper 80s. Gusty
winds are expected across the area on Saturday. The EPS shows a 40-
80% chance for gusts over 40mph across the area Saturday afternoon.
Scattered thunderstorm chances return to the area Saturday night as
storms move in from the west.
As the trough moves into the Plains on Sunday, it will a cold front
through the area during the day. Highs in the 70s to low 80s are
expected on Sunday, coolest behind the cold front. Another round of
thunderstorms could develop along/behind the cold frontal passage
Sunday afternoon-night though there remains uncertainty how much
develops along the front.
Cooler weather is expected behind the cold frontal passage on Monday
and Tuesday. Highs will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s, warmest across
portions of north central Kansas. Additional disturbances move
across the area next week, bringing scattered chances for rain to
the area though details remain uncertain giving increasing model
spread.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 612 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue off and on
through the mid-late morning hours. Have maintained the use of
a PROB30 due to uncertainties on duration and timing of
showers/storms. Briefly MVFR conditions are possible in the
strongest storms. Skies clear during the afternoon hours with
clear skies overnight.
Southerly winds strengthen this morning, with sustained winds of
10-15kts and gusts around 20kts this afternoon. Winds decrease
around sunset with winds falling below 10kts overnight.
Late in the TAF period, patchy fog development is possible, but
the best chances for fog look to remain west of KEAR/KGRI for
now (closest to impacting KEAR).
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Davis
AVIATION...Davis

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion