Sabael New York Weather Forecast Discussion

804
FXUS61 KALY 090542
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
142 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure building into the area from the Great Lakes region
will provide fair weather through Saturday. Below normal
temperatures with widespread frost and freezing temperatures
tonight will gradually moderate to seasonable levels by
Saturday. A coastal storm will bring clouds and some rain to the
region Sunday into early next week, along with breezy
conditions.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Key Message:
- Widespread frost/freezing temperatures expected for
  tonight/Friday morning across most of eastern NY/western New
  England, where a Freeze Warning is now in effect.
Discussion:
As of 130 AM EDT, patchy clouds continue to stream south/southeast
across portions of the Hudson Valley region and east into the
Taconics/Berkshires. These clouds may linger overnight before
eroding closer to daybreak.
Expect a mostly sunny but chilly day today with temperatures
only reaching the lower/mid 50s for most valley areas, and 45-50
across higher terrain.
Cold tonight with widespread frost/freezing temperatures
expected. We have upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning
for all areas outside of the southwest Adirondacks where the
growing season has already ended. Lows ranging from the mid 20s
to lower 30s.
Continued fair weather Friday along with cool temperatures,
with highs reaching the mid 50s to lower 60s in valleys, and
lower/mid 50s across higher terrain. Still chilly Friday night,
with lows in the 30s for most areas, and some additional
frost/freeze headlines likely will be needed, especially across
portions of the upper Hudson Valley into western New England.
Patchy fog may be a bit greater in coverage Friday
night/Saturday morning within river valleys.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Continued fair weather Saturday with more seasonable
temperatures reaching the 60s for most areas, with lows Saturday
night in the mid 30s to lower/mid 40s.
Coastal storm looks to track northward along mid Atlantic coast
for Sunday through early next week, though it may tend to loop
back southward. Some bands of rain should reach areas along and
south of I-90 Sunday afternoon, and possibly north of I-90
Sunday night, with periods of rain/drizzle possibly lingering
through Wednesday as the storm system only slowly departs. It
also looks breezy, especially across the mid Hudson Valley,
Taconics and NW CT, where some gusts of 25-35 mph could occur
late Sunday into Monday.
With prospects for clouds and some rain, daytime highs should
remain below normal Sunday-Monday with highs mainly in the 50s
and lows in the 40s. Slight warming possible by Tuesday-
Wednesday, with high temps reaching the lower/mid 60s, though
could remain cooler if thicker clouds/areal coverage of rain
remains greater. Lows mainly in the 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /05Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06z Friday...VFR conditions prevail across all
terminals this morning with the expectation for such to continue
throughout the duration of the 06z TAF period with high
pressure building eastward from the Great Lakes. Patches of
clouds seen on infrared satellite imagery will dissipate through
this morning, yielding a breaking of any ceilings that
currently exist and a gradual trend to clear skies. Winds
throughout the period will begin light out of the northwest to
northeast at sustained speeds under 10 kt. However, a breeze
will develop again after daybreak such that sustained wind
speeds increase to around 10 kt with paired gusts of 15 to 20 kt
through the day today.
Outlook...
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Columbus Day: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     CTZ001-013.
NY...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
     Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NYZ038>040-047-
     048-051-054-058-063-082.
MA...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     MAZ001-025.
VT...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     VTZ013>015.
     Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for VTZ013-014.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...24/35
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM...24
AVIATION...37

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion