Saint Marys Cemetery New Jersey Weather Forecast Discussion

558
FXUS61 KPHI 150000
AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure off the coast continues to move away into the North
Atlantic. A cold front will move through the area on Wednesday,
with strong high pressure building in to close out the week. A
low pressure system may approach from the west late this weekend
into early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The coastal low which has impacted the Mid-Atlantic region over
the past several days has finally moved out to sea as high
pressure is centered over the Great Lakes. The region remains caught
in between systems as stubborn cloudiness persists. Cloud cover
will continue to dwindle away through the overnight hours. Partly
cloudy skies should prevail overnight for most, although clouds
may linger a bit longer toward the coast. All in all, dry
weather is anticipated. Winds will also subside overnight to
around 10-20 mph. Lows tonight fall into the mid 40s to mid 50s.
For Wednesday, more in the way of sunshine is expected
throughout the course of the day aside for some high clouds. In
the morning, a cold front approaches from the north before
crossing through the area during the afternoon. Winds will once
again become increasingly gusty after the front passes where
northwest winds may gust up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Despite
the frontal passage, afternoon highs will be noticeably warmer
with highs topping out in the mid 60s to low 70s for most, with
50s in the Poconos.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Cold advection will persist thru Wednesday night as high
pressure builds in from Canada, resulting in a steady
northwesterly wind. Skies should be mostly clear, and lows will
drop down into the upper 30s and low 40s.
With the high taking its time building into the area, we`ll
keep a northwesterly gradient, so the northwest winds will
remain steady and occasionally gusty on Thursday. Otherwise,
skies will be mostly sunny, but temperatures will only recover
to the upper 50s and lower 60s.
It still appears the gradient will remain tight enough Thursday
night, with the high center still off to the northwest, such
that we`ll mostly avoid a frost/freeze threat in locations where
the growing season continues. The steady breeze will remain,
though a bit weaker than Wednesday night. Lows Thursday night in
the mid 30s to lower 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure finally builds overhead Friday, allowing winds to
relax more as the cold advection finally dwindles. Another
mostly sunny day should help to bring temps up a little, with
highs in the low to mid 60s, except upper 50s in the Poconos.
The highs sinks to our south on Friday night, with warm
advection beginning aloft as the gradient turns westerly, though
remaining light. Some clouds may filter into the area as well.
Lows Friday night in the 40s.
A weak warm frontal passage on Saturday should bring a bit more
cloud cover, but also notably warmer temperatures. Highs
Saturday in the mid 60s to low 70s.
Warm advection on a southwesterly gradient will continue
Saturday night, but remaining dry with high pressure still in
control as it drifts off the Carolina coast. Lows Saturday night
in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Warm advection peaks on Sunday just ahead of the next frontal
system approaching from the west. Clouds will be increasing,
along with the risk of showers, but it still should be the
warmest day of the forecast period. Highs Sunday in the low to
mid 70s, except 60s in the Poconos.
Aforementioned front moves through Sunday night, with
widespread showers and maybe even some thunderstorms and locally
heavy rain, depending on how the details set up. Lows Sunday
night in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
High pressure starts building back in Monday, with decreasing
clouds and precip chances. Highs Monday in the 60s, except 50s
in the Poconos.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Tonight...Lingering MVFR CIGs through 02Z or so, except for
KACY, where MVFR CIGs will linger into 08Z or so. VFR
thereafter. N-NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt or so,
diminishing fairly quickly to less than 10 kt. Moderate-high
confidence.
Wednesday...VFR with SCT high clouds. NW winds 5 to 10 kt in the
morning, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with 20 to 25 kt gusts in the
afternoon. High confidence.
Outlook...
Wednesday night thru Saturday...VFR conditions should prevail.
Sunday...Restrictions likely developing late as low clouds and
rain move in ahead of an approaching cold front.
&&
.MARINE...
The Small Craft Advisories on the Atlantic coastal waters are
in effect through Wednesday. The Small Craft Advisories on the
Delaware Bay have been cancelled today, however a new Small
Craft Advisory has been issued beginning at 4 PM on Wednesday.
Northerly winds around 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt will continue
into tonight before diminishing after midnight. On Wednesday, north-
northwest winds around 10-15 kt in the morning will increase to 15-
20 kt in the afternoon with gusts up to 25 kt following a frontal
passage. Seas of 6-10 feet. Fair weather outside of SCA conditions.
Outlook...
Small Craft Advisory conditions look likely at times Wednesday
night thru Thursday night due to winds and/or waves, at least
on the ocean waters. Delaware Bay will naturally have more sub-
advisory periods.
Sub-SCA conditions should become more widespread Friday and
continue thru Saturday.
Sunday will see increasing southerly winds and seas building
over 5 feet. Advisory conditions likely. Rain developing late
Sunday.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The Coastal Flood Advisory was allowed to expire for Atlantic
and Cape May County in NJ and Kent County in DE as no further
tidal flooding is expected.
Barnegat Bay and the back bays of the Delaware Beaches have been
slow to drain and remain mostly in minor flood stage. Flow
slowly turns more to the north/northwest tonight and tomorrow.
Would expect continued tidal flooding through tonight though
within those back bay and bayside communities. The Coastal Flood
Advisory was extended through 9 AM tomorrow.
No further tidal issues expected elsewhere.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT Wednesday for NJZ020-026.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT Wednesday for DEZ003-004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Wednesday to 6 AM EDT Thursday
     for ANZ430-431.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>455.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DeSilva/Guzzo/RCM
NEAR TERM...DeSilva/MPS
SHORT TERM...RCM/Staarmann
LONG TERM...RCM/Staarmann
AVIATION...DeSilva/MPS/Staarmann
MARINE...DeSilva/Staarmann
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hoeflich

NWS PHI Office Area Forecast Discussion