San Felipe, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

766
FXUS64 KHGX 192324
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
624 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
- More of the same Saturday.
- Increased moisture Sunday into next week should lead to better
  chances of showers and thunderstorms across the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Generally a persistence forecast into Saturday. By Sunday, we`ll
have a more predominate southeast flow in place. Corresponding
increase in Gulf moisture should bring additional cloud cover and
slightly lower high temperatures to the region Sunday into next
week. Daily shower/tstm chances should gradually increase as well.
Those with outdoor plans on Sunday, say from the metro area to
the coast, might want to pack an umbrella just in case. Doesn`t
necessarily look like a washout, but overall scattered precip
coverage looks to be highest in that general vicinity (and even
moreso offshore). Heading into next week, it looks like an equal
opportunity situation for most in the region with scattered,
mainly daytime activity inland and overnight/morning activity
offshore.
Model-to-model forecast upper level pattern varies through a good
part of next week. They`re not in the best agreement...which leads
to forecast uncertainty in regards to the nitty gritty details
and timing. Some suggest the potential for shortwave activity
moving through aloft, others suggest a weak mid-late week frontal
boundary to play with, etc, etc. Until we have some better
consistency/confidence, blended fcsts advertising sct daily precip
chances will be tough to beat at this point in time. 47
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 617 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Persistence forecast with light and variable winds tonight,
increasing by Friday afternoon around 8-12 knots. Patchy fog will
be possible early in the morning, especially near KCXO. Scattered
showers and storms will be possible in the afternoon; therefore,
will continue with PROB30 at least for terminals along the I-10
corridor. Overall, VFR conditions are expected through most of the
TAF cycle.
JM
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Light to occasionally moderate east to southeast winds and 2 to 4
foot seas should continue through Saturday along with some isolated
to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. A more predominate
southeast wind direction will emerge Sunday along with a gradual
increase in rain chances into next week. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  70  94  72  92 /  20  20  20  30
Houston (IAH)  73  93  74  90 /  20  30  20  60
Galveston (GLS)  79  90  79  88 /   0  20  50  60
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion