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Sargent, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

482
FXUS63 KLBF 242341
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 641 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s are expected the next 7 days.

- Breezy south winds develop Sunday through Monday ahead of an upper trough moving into the region.

- Slight chances for showers and a few thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Sunday night and again Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

For tonight and Thursday, an upper ridge over the Central and Southern Rockies will build into the region. Weak surface high pressure and light and variable winds tonight under clear skies. Lows to range from the mid 40s western Sandhills, to the upper 40s to low 50s central and east. On Thursday, surface low pressure develops along the lee of the Rockies, bringing a light southwest wind to the area. Clear skies, with weak warm air advection. Highs from the low 80s north to upper 70s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

A shortwave trough will move into the Northern Plains on Friday. This will drive a cold front into western South Dakota. Warming ahead of the front with highs from the low to mid 80s. Afternoon humidity will fall to as low as 20 percent across the northwest Sandhills with winds turning to the west at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon for just a limited potential for elevated fire weather conditions Friday afternoon.

A weak cold frontal passage Friday night. Highs Saturday to remain slightly above normal in the upper 70s to near 80. An upper trough west of the Four Corners Saturday night will lift over the Central and Southern Rockies on Sunday. This will bring a return of southerly winds, with winds on Sunday becoming breezy, along with higher dewpoints in the upper 50s to near 60. A slight chance for showers and a few thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Sunday night, mainly across the west. The axis of this upper trough is forecast to move across the area Monday night into Tuesday. The ECMWF is much less amplified wrt the trough axis than the GFS, so confidence on the development of showers or thunderstorms is low. The current forecast has a slight chance Monday night. Dry conditions Tuesday into Wednesday, as upper ridging prevails across the Central U.S.

Highs Sunday through next Wednesday are forecast to remain mild in the upper 70s to lower 80s each day.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 634 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

VFR conditions will prevail across western and north central Nebraska through Thursday afternoon. Winds will generally become light and variable overnight, then become light south to southwesterly by late Thursday morning. Skies will clear this evening and are expected to remain clear through Thursday afternoon.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg LONG TERM...Roberg AVIATION...Pepe

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion

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