Schenectady Park, New York Weather Forecast Discussion

746
FXUS61 KALY 271735
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
135 PM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal storm over the mid Atlantic region may bring some
spotty light showers to areas well south and east of Albany
tonight. Otherwise dry conditions will prevail through the next
week with high pressure in control. Temperatures will be above
normal through early next week, then trending cooler and more
seasonable mid to late week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Key Message:
- Above normal temperatures through early next week.
Discussion:
High level clouds will continue to increase this afternoon into
this evening, as a coastal storm near SE Virginia tracks
northeast off the mid Atlantic coast. There looks to be just
enough forcing to bring a few light showers to some areas
south/east of Albany and mainly Dutchess/Litchfield County where
30-50% PoPs are mentioned late this evening into the early
overnight hours. Any measurable rain will be light < 0.10".
Otherwise it will be mostly cloudy with some clearing across
northern areas late as the system moves further away from the
coast. Lows temperatures will be mild in the 50s to near 60F.
Clouds will decrease from NW to SE Sun morning as a westerly
flow develops. Temperatures will get quite warm in the afternoon
with good mixing and an anomalously warm air mass in place (850
mb temperatures anomalies of +1 to +2 STDEV). Highs should
reach the lower 80s in most lower elevations with some mid 80s
south of Albany. It will also feel humid with dewpoints in the
lower/mid 60s. A weak cool front will move through late Sun
afternoon into the evening, which will result in lowering
humidity and cooler temperatures for Sun night. Lows will be in
the mid 40s to mid 50s.
High pressure to build back in on Mon bringing dry conditions
and plenty of sunshine. It will be slightly cooler and less
humid than Sun, but high temperatures will still be above
normal. Tranquil conditions persist Mon night with high pressure
in place.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Key Message:
- Temperatures trending below normal mid to late next week.
Discussion:
A strong/large area of high pressure building south from Canada
will push a dry cold front southward across the area on Tue.
Prior to the front it will still be mild (highs mid/upper 70s)
Tue afternoon, but then a cooling trend will occur behind the
front Tue night through the rest of the work week. Temperatures
will likely be below normal through Fri. Northerly winds will be
a bit breezy late Tue into Wed prior to the high building in.
Frost may occur Wed/Thu nights, especially over higher terrain
areas. Ridging both at the surface and aloft will be the
dominant feature through the period, so no precipitation is
expected.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 18z/Sun...VFR conditions expected through this evening,
though a brief period of MVFR Cigs may occur at KPSF through
22Z/Sat. High/mid level clouds will increase this afternoon and
persist until around 08Z/Sun. Some light showers may briefly
occur at KPOU between 05Z-08Z/Sun, although VFR conditions
should continue. As high/mid level clouds thin out after
08Z/Sun, some ground fog/low Cigs and patchy IFR/LIFR conditions
may develop and persist through around 13Z-14Z/Sun, especially
at KGFL. After any fog/low clouds lifts, VFR conditions are
expected by later Sunday morning. Light/variable winds expected
this afternoon and tonight, becoming southwest to west at 4-8 KT
by late Sunday morning.
Outlook...
Sunday Night to Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night to Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JPV
SHORT TERM...JPV
LONG TERM...JPV
AVIATION...KL

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion