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Scruggs Cemetery, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

507
FXUS64 KHUN 150230
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 930 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight and Monday) Issued at 929 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025

High res models continue to show a low chance (15-20%) of showers and thunderstorms mainly for NW AL late tonight into early tomorrow morning. This will bring in additional few/sct cloud cover and help keep lows a little warmer along and west of I-65, reaching the upper 60s. The rest of the forecast area will be in the lower 60s.

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.SHORT TERM... (Monday night through Wednesday night) Issued at 929 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025

This week we will start off with an omega blocking pattern across the CONUS. There will be a low pressure off the Southeast to Mid Atlantic coast and an amplified ridge being squeezed into the Great Lakes as low pressure in the Northern Plains and Northern Rockies tries to slide eastward. A shortwave gliding southward through the flow tomorrow afternoon could bring a low chance for showers/storms, otherwise it should be another warm and dry day across the TN Valley. The blocking pattern will persist into mid week and conditions should remain dry, however, will have to monitor if disturbances from the coastal low encroach close enough to the TN Valley to pop a few showers/storms. Confidence is too low to include any POPs for this in this forecast package. Highs will remain above normal in the upper 80s to lower 90s but heat index values should remain below 100 degrees. Regardless, stay safe in the heat by taking breaks, staying hydrated and never leaving people or pets in vehicles.

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.LONG TERM... (Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 929 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025

The blocking pattern will finally break down during the latter half of the work week as the Mid Atlantic low weakens and lifts northward. High pressure will keep conditions dry for Thursday, but low chances of showers and storms return on Friday and into the weekend as the other trough in the blocking pattern slides into the Plains. Its surface low will lift into the Midwest, with the associated cold front sliding into the Mid MS Valley. At this time, it doesn`t look like the front will make it into the TN Valley but stay close enough to keep a low chance (20-30%) in the forecast through the weekend. Warmer than normal highs will linger into Saturday with temps in the upper 80s to lower 90s. They will cool a tad on Saturday, remaining below 90 degrees.

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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 629 PM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at KHSV and KMSL through the TAF period. There is a low chance for a few showers or thunderstorms mainly at KMSL between 06-12Z but confidence is too low to include it in the TAFs at this time.

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.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. &&

$$

NEAR TERM...JMS SHORT TERM....JMS LONG TERM....JMS AVIATION...JMS

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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