032 FXUS61 KCLE 271908 AFDCLEArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 308 PM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure persists overhead before a weak cold front sinks south across the lower Great Lakes on Sunday. Strong Canadian high pressure will build south over the Great Lakes through the middle of the week before building east towards the Northeast by the end of the week.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Quiet weather continues through the near term as high pressure persists over the lower Great Lakes. Patchy fog will be possible again across eastern zones overnight tonight given lingering low-level moisture coupled with light winds. Above normal low temperatures tonight settle in the mid to upper 50s. A weak but dry cold front will cross the region on Sunday. High temperatures on Sunday are expected to rise into the upper 70s to mid 80s under a mostly sunny sky. Slightly cooler low temperatures on Sunday night as they settle in the low to mid 50s. Lows in the upper 40s will be possible across higher terrain locations in Northwest Pennsylvania.
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.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Canadian high pressure will build southeast towards the local area by the beginning of next week. Dry conditions and above normal temperatures remain through the short term with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s expected each afternoon. Overnight lows settle in the low to mid 50s each night, mid 40s across Northwest Pennsylvania.
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.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Dry weather persists under high pressure but cooler and breezy conditions are expected through the long term. High temperatures return to near-normal values in the mid 60s to lower 70s Wednesday and Thursday. Slightly warmer Friday and Saturday with highs in the upper 70s under southerly return flow as the high exits to the east. Chilliest nights of the week will be Wednesday and Thursday night as low temperatures fall into the low to mid 40s. Typical cold spots in Northwest Pennsylvania could drop as low as the upper 30s. Concern for any frost potential remains low at this time given elevated wind speeds overnight.
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.AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/... VFR is observed areawide with mostly sunny/clear skies, and is generally expected to continue through the TAF period. Patchy fog may be possible in east-central Ohio or Northwest Pennsylvania but have not added any visibility restrictions to any TAF sites. Winds will be light and variable, becoming light and out of the northwest during the day Sunday.
Outlook...Mainly VFR conditions are expected through Thursday.
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.MARINE... Light and variable conditions this afternoon become southwest winds around 10 knots tonight. Winds tend to be light and variable, though tending to favor a light onshore flow Sunday through Monday. High pressure gradually moves from northern Ontario on Tuesday to southern Quebec and New England towards the end of the week. This will result in northeast flow developing on Tuesday, strengthening to 20-25 knots Tuesday night through Wednesday night. A small craft advisory is very likely for the entire southern nearshore of Lake Erie during this time frame.
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.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.
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SYNOPSIS...13 NEAR TERM...13 SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM...13 AVIATION...Saunders MARINE...Saunders
NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion