543 FXUS64 KOUN 060536 AFDOUNArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- Cooler this weekend, followed by a gradual warmup back to normal next week.
- Very low chances for showers Sunday through Monday night, mainly western Oklahoma and western north Texas.
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.NEAR TERM... (Through Saturday) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The cold front has shifted southeast of our forecast area, and with it the main line of showers and storms. Some lingering showers will continue to be possible behind the front (along the Red River region) and in north central Oklahoma through early morning.
Saturday morning will feature some of the coolest temperatures we`ve seen thus far this summer with lows in the 50s to lower 60s. This afternoon will be dry and cool (highs in the 70s).
Day
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.SHORT TERM... (Saturday night through Monday night) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Sunday and Monday will feature slowly warming temperatures (highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s), partly to mostly cloudy skies, and low rain chances along the western fringe of our forecast area (driven by upslope flow) as the upper trough departs and ridging begins to move in.
Day
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.LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The long term forecast will be dominated by an upper ridge, keeping rain chances low and allowing temperatures to return to normal.
Models diverge for the upcoming weekend on the path of an approaching trough that could bring additional rain chances to the area.
Day
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1055 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Areas of rain continue across the north and the south, but intensity has decreased and most of the rain is now light. These showers will persist into Saturday morning before decreasing. Some MVFR ceilings (and even locally IFR) ceilings are expected in the northwest overnight, with more localized areas possible elsewhere. Ceilings will lift slowly in the morning hours.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 74 57 78 59 / 10 0 10 0 Hobart OK 77 58 83 62 / 10 10 10 10 Wichita Falls TX 78 62 82 63 / 20 10 10 10 Gage OK 75 56 80 60 / 10 10 10 10 Ponca City OK 76 53 81 57 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 77 64 82 59 / 20 10 10 0
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.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. &&
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NEAR TERM...14 SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...26
NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion