Stamps, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

065
FXUS64 KSHV 270405
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1105 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
- Dry trend will continue through the upcoming weekend into much
   of next week.
- Milder temperatures will be here for a while as well with lower
   daytime humidity. Cooler temperatures will especially be felt
   at night with low temperatures through the weekend before
   temperatures begin to slowly moderate by the next work week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Another beautiful evening across the Four State Region with the
drier air having settled in with much lower dewpoints and in some
locations, much lower temperatures tonight compared to this time
last night. There is enough of a temperature/dewpoint spread
tonight that we shouldn`t have to contend with any reduced
visibilities towards sunrise Saturday Morning. Thus for Saturday,
we should be looking at another pleasant day with some afternoon
cumulus and daytime high temperatures mostly in the middle to
upper 80s.
Upper ridging will be the name of the game across the Lower Miss
Valley into much of the Southern Plains through the weekend and
even into Monday. Thus, persistence is the best forecast tool in
the short term but there are some possible changes to our upper
level pattern as we approach the middle part of next week. A
longwave trough does approach our region from the Tx Hill Country
late on Monday, taking up residence across Central Texas and the
Upper Red River Valley by Tuesday, moving into our region late
Tuesday into Tuesday Night. While there should be some ascent
associated with such a feature, if there is no moisture to
ascend, then its difficult to generate any precipitation so to
speak. Until we can get some return moisture in the lower levels,
then any upper forcing will just be wasted unfortunately.
There is pretty good agreement of the above mentioned longwave
trough getting absorbed by another upper level trough that will
actually try to retrograde westward from the Southeast U.S. into
the Lower Miss and/or the Tenn Valley by late next week. This
should result in at least some widely scattered convection across
our region beginning Wed Aftn and continuing through the end of
the next work week. For now the NBM is dry through the extended
and if the above mentioned upper level pattern can become
more consistent from model run to model run, then we should be
introducing at least some small pops for late next week with
upcoming forecast package.
13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Clear skies this evening and through the overnight across the
regional airspace. VFR conditions to then continue on Saturday
with a FEW-SCT cu field developing in the 16-18z timeframe around
3500-4000ft and then dissipating towards sunset with SCT cirrus
moving in from the west after 28/00z. Winds calm to light and
variable (less than 5kts) overnight tonight, becoming N/NE
Saturday morning around 5kts. No restrictions to vsbys altho
patches of fog cannot be ruled out early Saturday. Best chance
near KELD where a brief period of MVFR vsbys may develop near
daybreak.
Kovacik
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  64  89  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  60  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  88  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  85  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  62  87  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  87  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  61  89  61  89 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...23

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion