State Line, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

012
FXUS64 KMOB 042333
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
633 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Nobody move or we might scare the nice weather away. The benign
dry weather shall continue until we say otherwise and that appears
to be at least through next week. A rather impressive upper
trough for early September will remain in place across the eastern
CONUS. While this upper trough will likely break down some
tomorrow and Saturday, a re- enforcing shortwave will help bring
drier air back to the area Sunday into Monday. Given current
guidance this could be some of the driest air we have seen as
dewpoints might crater into the low 50s to upper 40s across
interior portions of the area. Unfortunately, the coast may stay
a little more moist as a stalled frontal boundary will be
lingering just offshore and how far south this boundary makes it
will dictate how dry the coast gets. Further offshore the front
goes the drier everyone will be. If the front hangs up along the
coastline, then some scattered showers and storms may begin to
pop up by midweek. Other than that the only concern may be for
some fire weather with such dry conditions. Given we have a few
days to watch trends, I went rather conservative with the
dewpoints but could easily see dewpoints next week in the 40s
leading to relative humidity values in the 20 to 30% (Normally we
are around 60-70%). This coupled with the fairly dry couple of
weeks may allow for some burning concerns to arise. Other than
that expect temperatures mainly to be in the upper 80s to low 90s
and lows to remain in the low to mid 60s through most of the
forecast. BB-8
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Light and
variable winds tonight will become a light southeasterly to
southerly flow by Friday afternoon. /96
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
A mostly light diurnal flow will continue through Saturday with
an onshore flow developing in the afternoon then becoming offshore
at night. A northerly flow follows for Sunday and strengthens Sunday
night before diminishing on Monday. A moderate to occasionally
strong northeasterly flow develops Monday night then diminishes
somewhat on Tuesday as it becomes easterly. Will likely need to
monitor the Monday through Tuesday timeframe for small craft
advisory conditions and small craft will likely need to exercise
caution during that time.  BB-8
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      71  92  69  93  70  89  66  87 /   0   0   0  10   0  10   0   0
Pensacola   73  90  73  92  73  92  70  88 /   0   0   0  10   0   0   0  10
Destin      75  89  76  90  75  90  70  88 /   0   0   0  10   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   68  95  69  95  69  90  61  88 /   0   0   0  10   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  69  94  68  92  67  87  61  84 /   0   0   0  20   0   0   0   0
Camden      70  95  71  93  69  87  62  86 /   0   0   0  10   0   0   0   0
Crestview   68  94  68  94  70  91  65  89 /   0   0   0  10   0  10   0  10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion