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Stratton, Illinois Weather Forecast Discussion

397
FXUS63 KPAH 011849
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 149 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions and above normal temperatures will continue tonight through the weekend.

- Small chances of showers and a few thunderstorms will return early next week, mainly Tuesday into Tuesday night, but rainfall amounts will generally be very light.

- Temperatures will remain above normal early next week, cooling to more seasonable readings Wednesday behind a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 150 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

High pressure will remain in control of our weather tonight on through the weekend. Temperatures will remain unseasonably warm, generally 6-12 degrees above normal. Winds will become light southerly Thursday, and increase over the weekend. These winds will help bring a little more moisture into the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys for early next week.

Models show a weak cold front approaching from the northwest Monday, moving through the PAH forecast Tuesday into Tuesday night. A few showers are possible Monday mainly in portions of west Kentucky during the heat of the day. Slightly better chances arrive for the entire area with the front late Monday night into Tuesday night, but the model blend only produces 20-30% chances so far. At this point, it looks like many areas will remain dry, and only areas lucky enough to see a thunderstorm will see over a tenth of an inch of rainfall. A shower or storm may still be possible Wednesday in the Pennyrile region of west Kentucky. We will continue to monitor and hope for some better moisture return ahead of the cold front. Temperatures early next week will still be above normal, but behind the front Wednesday readings will be closer to normal.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 150 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

VFR conditions expected this afternoon into this evening. Fog will again be possible mainly from 09z-13z at KCGI with MVFR to possibly IFR vsbys, and at KPAH with MVFR. Other sites may see brief MVFR due to calm winds overnight. Winds will be light and variable to east at 5-8kt this afternoon, and light and variable after 13z Thursday.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RST AVIATION...RST

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion

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