Tennessee Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

424
FXUS64 KLZK 112239 AAA
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
539 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
-Pleasant fall-like conditions are expected to persist through the
 weekend.
-Seasonably warm temperatures will return to the forecast area by
 the new work week, with dry, settled, and warm conditions
 prevailing.
-Unsettled weather, including rain and thunderstorm chances appear
 possible across the region by late next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Thru this weekend, pleasantly cool "fall-like" mrngs are expected
acrs the FA, w/ seasonably warm afternoon temperatures prevailing.
Mean H500 ridging is expected to persist acrs the Cntrl US thru
much of next week, which wl support daily temps trending upwards
and staying seasonably warm, w/ no appreciable rain chances thru
the fcst PD.
Of note towards the end of next week, long-term deterministic and
ensemble-mean H500 and sfc progs are beginning to advertise a
pattern shift towards more widespread rain chances for much of the
Natural State. Wl continue to monitor for hazardous wx potential,
but for now, uncertainties and variability remain too large for
any concrete details.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period.
SFC high pressure will slide further east...with SRLY/SERLY winds
expected. Some patchy fog may also be seen Sun morning...but
should remain away from terminals.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     53  83  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         56  85  55  87 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       55  81  58  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    57  85  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     57  86  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      57  86  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  54  82  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        54  83  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     56  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   58  85  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         54  83  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      56  83  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...62

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion