Toneyfork, West Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

342
FXUS61 KRLX 100529
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
129 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure maintains control over the area through much of
the week, yielding a stretch of dry weather amid a subtle
warming trend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 730 PM Tuesday...
Forecast remains largely on track with quiet weather and some
river valley fog expected overnight. No updates needed.
As of 1200 PM Tuesday...
Overall mainly dry conditions continue in the near term period with
high pressure in control. Afternoons will continue to be
characterized by low RH, but winds look to remain generally light
during the period. River valley fog will be possible overnight/early
Wednesday morning. Otherwise, moisture from a low moving north along
the coast Wednesday may spread enough moisture west to produce some
light rain across far northeast zones, but chances are low, and main
effect may just be a slight uptick in cloud cover.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1200 PM Tuesday...
High pressure, along with continued cool and dry conditions will
linger Thursday. A gradual warming trend will take hold by Friday as
a ridge across the central U.S. nudges east into the region. High
temperatures by Friday should generally top out in the low to mid
80s across the lowlands.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1200 PM Tuesday...
The trend for warming temperatures continues over the weekend as
upper ridge to our west strengthens. Dry weather is expected to
continue, along with low RH`s, but winds still look to remain
relatively light, mitigating much in the way of fire weather
concerns.
&&
.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 125 AM Wednesday...
The one exception to VFR conditions will be in patchy valley fog
early this morning. EKN, PKB, and CRW remain the most likely
sites to experience sub-VFR ceilings and visibilities in fog,
though brief restrictions aren`t completely out of the question
for HTS or CKB around sunrise. Fog will dissipate by 13 to 14Z,
then high pressure brings another quiet, VFR day.
Calm to light winds continue through the morning, then light and
northerly flow is expected during the day. Winds calm again
after 00Z.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and extent of fog may vary from the
forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE                                   WED 09/10/25
UTC 1HRLY       05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16
EDT 1HRLY       01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    L    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
AFTER 06Z THURSDAY...
IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...20
NEAR TERM...FK/SL
SHORT TERM...SL
LONG TERM...SL
AVIATION...20

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion