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Trimble Illinois Weather Forecast Discussion

150
FXUS63 KILX 071711
AFDILX

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1211 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and thunderstorm continue north of I-72 and south of I-70 into this afternoon as the cold front exits central and southeastern IL this afternoon.

- Behind the cold front, a return to more seasonable temps (highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s) north of I-70 Tuesday and area- wide Wednesday though Friday is expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 224 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

The cold front is still working its way through central IL this morning, located near the I-55 corridor at the moment. There are isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms along and behind the front. Additional showery activity in southeastern IL where the increased moisture return is located is possible as we go into the morning hours as more develop. The area that hasn`t seen much rain thus far, and is currently precipitation-free, is between I-72 and I- 70. The CAMs indicate that this area is likely to remain the driest section of the CWA. Rain hasn`t been widespread with this frontal passage. Any rainfall chances should end by late afternoon, around 21-00z, but the northwestern counties of the forecast area should be dried out by 18z.

Behind this cold front, a period of dry weather sets up as a high pressure takes over the pattern once again. The next chance of rain arrives early next week as another low pressure system looks to pass off to the north of Illinois, draping a cold front through the CWA.

Temperatures will briefly drop down to near normal starting today, but will quickly warm back up into the 80s for the weekend into the new week. Lows on Wednesday night and Thursday night will be the chilliest we have seen a quite awhile, being in the upper 30s to low 40s. We will have to watch for the possibility of a light frost to occur Thursday morning and Friday morning, primarily in east central IL. East of I-55 both mornings have a 20-30% chance of temperatures dropping below 36 degrees, with potentially clear skies.

Copple

&&

.AVIATION... (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Wednesday Afternoon) Issued at 1210 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

IFR ceilings persist across much of the area, but a slow improvement to MVFR is expected during the first several hours of the period, followed by a transition to scattering clouds/clearing skies by this evening (around 00-03z) after which point VFR conditions will prevail. A few lingering showers are present, and these may occasionally result in MVFR visbys during the first few hours of the period. Winds will be out of the north- northeast around 10 kts for much of the period.

Erwin

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

NWS ILX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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