844 FXUS64 KMEG 050417 AFDMEGArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1117 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1117 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
- A line of showers and thunderstorms will move through the Mid- South Friday into Saturday, bringing a threat for severe weather.
- A Marginal Risk (Level 1 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms is in place for late Friday afternoon through early Saturday morning. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary threats.
- A significant cooldown will follow the front, with pleasant, fall-like temperatures featuring highs in the 70s and 80s expected for Sunday into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION... (Tonight through next Thursday) Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Welcomed rainfall is on the way beginning late Friday afternoon into Saturday ahead of a cold frontal passage. Unfortunately, prior to this, return flow and efficient heating will allow temperatures to creep into the mid to upper 90s. The return flow will allow for strong moisture transport and allow dewpoints to creep into the 60s, with some areas in north Mississippi reaching or exceeding 70 degrees. This strong moisture combined with lift from the approaching frontal boundary does bring a looming severe weather threat. While it remains
NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion