Tuttle Cemetery Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

617
FXUS64 KEWX 131741
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1241 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonable morning and warm afternoon temperatures continue
  through the week.
- Weak cold front over the weekend brings a low chance (20%) for
  rainfall.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
The ridge aloft is forecast to continue to strengthen into Tuesday,
centering across northeast Texas. H5 heights of 594dm are indicated,
at the 99th percentile to near max values for this time of year.
This will lead to continued warm afternoon temperatures Tuesday.
Southeast low level flow continues, and a higher pool of moisture,
currently across the western Gulf, is forecast to move into South
Texas tonight and up into the Winter Garden and Rio Grande
regions on Tuesday. A stray shower or two can`t be ruled out
Tuesday west of I-37 and south of U.S. 90, but almost all
locations across South-Central Texas will remain dry.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
The upper level ridge is forecast weaken Wednesday through Thursday
and shift northeast. At the same time, an inverted upper level
trough slides beneath it on Wednesday into South Texas then will be
absorbed into a larger trough moving out of the western CONUS and
into the Plains Thursday through Saturday. We can`t rule out very
low chances (10%) for isolated showers Thursday and Friday across
the Coastal Plains, but most locations will remain dry. The
trough is forecast to drag the dry line into the southern Edwards
Plateau late Friday afternoon and a weak cold front into the
region sometime Saturday or Saturday night. There is a large
spread in ensembles guidance on timing and rain chances along
this front. At this time we will continue with low (20%) chances
for isolated showers Saturday and Saturday night across portions
of the Hill Country and I-35 corridor, and Sunday across the
Coastal Plains. There is also a very low chance (10-20%) for
isolated showers and thunderstorms early Friday evening across
Val Verde county, closer to the dryline. Unseasonably warm
afternoon temperatures continue Wednesday through Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Fair weather cumulus is expected this afternoon with a few
concentrated areas making for a broken sky. Mostly clear skies
should resume this evening, but a few more patches of high clouds
could appear from the west. SE winds of 5-8 knots will turn light
and perhaps more easterly tonight into early Tuesday. This could
favor a MVFR ceiling for a few hours at DRT while the low clouds
stay mainly west of I-35.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              64  92  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  62  93  60  93 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     62  92  61  92 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            62  88  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  91  68  91 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        62  90  60  90 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             64  89  61  91 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        62  93  59  93 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   61  93  59  93 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       66  91  64  91 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           67  92  65  93 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...76
LONG TERM....76
AVIATION...18

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion