497 FXUS64 KSJT 071725 AFDSJTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1225 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms expected today and again on Monday across southern sections, with dry conditions returning by Tuesday.
- Sunny and warm conditions expected for Tuesday through Friday.
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.SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 232 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Upper ridge will build across the Rockies today, placing West Central Texas in northwest flow aloft. We will see a gradual drying trend as we head into the new work week, however, there is still a chance for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms today and again on Monday, with the best chance south of a San Angelo to San Saba line. NBM POPs seem a bit too high today, so have lowered rain chances some across southern sections, where a 30 to 50 percent chance for precipitation is now expected. Most of this activity will be diurnal in nature, with precipitation diminishing after sunset as daytime heating diminishes. Temperatures will be warmer today, but still below normal, with afternoon highs mainly in the low to mid 80s. Lows tonight will be in the 60s.
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.LONG TERM... (Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Expect warmer and dry weather and an upper level ridge builds across the Southern Plains this week. Also, look for mostly sunny skies each afternoon so it will make it feel even hotter. Highs will be in the 90s, slightly above normal for this time of year. Overnight lows will be in the 60s to around 70.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Rain and MVFR ceilings for southern locations should dissipate by 22Z with improvement to VFR thereafter. Overnight, patchy MVFR ceilings look to redevelop between 06Z-10Z. Ceilings look to be fairly ragged after sunrise but could persist for some locations through the morning.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 66 89 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 65 86 65 91 / 0 10 0 0 Junction 65 86 62 90 / 10 20 0 0 Brownwood 64 87 62 91 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 67 89 68 94 / 0 10 0 0 Ozona 66 85 65 88 / 10 30 0 0 Brady 65 84 63 89 / 0 10 0 0
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.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...SK
NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion