Union Cemetery Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

976
FXUS64 KMOB 131750
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1250 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
An upper ridge will build over our region from the west through
midweek. A large upper trough over the western U.S. will shift
eastward the latter half of the week and over the weekend, with an
associated surface low pressure area lifting north across the
northern Plains into south-central Canada. The 12z Run of the GFS
has the axis of this trough crossing over the Mississippi River
Saturday night. The ECMWF timing is starting to become better
align with the GFS, but still lags behind by about 12 hours.
Showers and thunderstorms will return for the weekend, with the
highest rain chances (40-50%) likely occurring Saturday night
through noon Sunday, and then taper off from west to east through
Sunday night. At this time, we are anticipating around one-half to
one inch of widespread rainfall with this system.
Until then, it remains a temperature and low afternoon relative
humidity forecast into midweek with dry weather conditions
persisting through Friday night. High temperatures will range from
85-90 degrees (around 6-11 degrees above normal) through Thursday
before cooling slightly into the middle 80s on Friday and the
lower to middle 80s over the weekend due to increasing cloud cover
and rain chances. Low temperatures tonight will be near normal,
with middle 50s inland and the upper 50s to lower 60s along the
immediate coast. Lows will trend warmer throughout the week, and
should be 2-7 degrees above normal Wednesday night, and a whopping
12-17 degrees above normal Saturday night (middle to upper 60s
inland and around 70 degrees along the immediate coast) due to a
good fetch of southerly winds.
Beach Forecast: The LOW rip current risk persist through Thursday
night. Increasing low level southeasterly flow across the region
will help increase the rip current risk by the weekend across our
local beaches, with a Moderate risk returning by Friday and
potentially a High risk of rip currents this weekend. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
VFR conditions under northerly flow expected through the forecast.
Winds 5 to 10 knots today will become light tonight, then rise to 5
to 10 knots Tuesday morning. /16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
A light offshore flow will prevail through Thursday morning, with
the exception of a brief onshore flow Wednesday afternoon into
early evening associated with the diurnal cycle. A light easterly
to southeasterly flow will return Thursday afternoon, with winds
gradually increasing late in the week along with building seas.
/22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      58  86  59  86  59  86  62  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   62  86  64  85  64  84  66  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      65  85  65  84  65  84  67  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   54  89  55  90  56  90  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  54  86  56  86  56  87  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      54  87  54  87  56  88  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   53  88  55  87  55  87  58  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion