Union Grove, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

364
FXUS64 KHUN 061123
AFDHUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
623 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 409 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Overnight showers and thunderstorms have finally pushed east into
GA this morning. A brief lull in the activity is being observed
across the local forecast area ahead of an approaching cold front.
Based on radar and sfc observations, the cold front stretches
across central TN southwestward towards the AR/MS border. CAMs
continue to show showers and thunderstorms developing along or
just ahead of the cold front arriving into northwest AL just
before sunrise. These will then push eastward through the morning
hours. Would not be surprised to see a few strong storms with
model soundings showing 1000-1500 j/kg of CAPE and 30 kts of
shear. Main concern would be gusty winds 40-50 mph. Precip should
move fast enough to limit flooding concerns but with PWs between
1.5-1.75 inches, expect to see 1-2 inch/hr rain rates in the
strongest thunderstorms.
By this afternoon, the cold front should push south and east of
the forecast area bringing in a drier and cooler airmass.
Afternoon highs will only climb into the mid to upper 70s. While
it will take sometime for the drier air to make it into the
Tennessee Valley, sfc dewpoints will be falling this afternoon
making for a comfortable early September day.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday night through Monday)
Issued at 1033 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
A chilly surface high will build southward from Canada over the
next few days. This airmass change will be evident Saturday night,
as low temperatures tumble into the 50s (lower 50s north to upper
50s south). Under sunny skies, cooler and dry conditions will
continue on Sunday with highs in the mid 70s to around 80.
Similarly cool temperatures are forecast Sun night with lows in
the low/mid 50s. A bit warmer on Monday with highs in the low/mid
80s under generally sunny skies.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Friday)
Issued at 1033 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Guidance continues to show high pressure will control the regions
general weather for the upcoming work week. Dry weather should
continue for the period. Low temperatures for the period should
range from the upper 50s to the low/mid 60s. High temperatures
Tuesday should range in the 80s. Somewhat warmer conditions are
forecast for Thursday and Friday, with highs from the mid 80s and
into the lower 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Thunderstorms along and ahead of an approaching cold front will
impact the terminals this morning. Expect reductions in both
visibility and ceiling within any stronger storm with the
potential for gusts up to 20kts. For now kept conditions only at
MVFR but amendments may be needed if conditions upstream show
lower conditions. The front clears the terminals by late morning
into the early afternoon and the winds will shift to the north and
a return to VFR flight conditions.
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...GH
SHORT TERM....RSB
LONG TERM....RSB
AVIATION...GH

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion