Vaught Cemetery Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

313
FXUS64 KOHX 141746
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1246 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1243 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
- Showers and thunderstorms return this weekend.
- Temperatures will be above normal through the week, peaking in
  the mid 80s on the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Upper level ridge is set up over the central part of the country.
This is bringing us quiet weather with clear skies. Highs this
afternoon will push into the mid 70s to around 80 which is a bit
above average from this time of year. Overnight lows will cool to
seasonal norms falling into the upper 40s to lower 50s. We won`t
see much change in the forecast as we head into Wednesday as we
remain on the eastern part of the ridge.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Quiet weather is going to continue for the start of the extended
forecast but we will see some weather as we head into the weekend.
Until then the upper level ridge will build east keeping warm and
dry conditions in place through the end of the week. Highs will
remain in the mid 70s to mid 80s with lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s.
The weather will become a bit more active over the weekend. An
upper level low that is currently bringing an early season rain to
California will lift into Canada on Saturday pushing a cold front
south into the Plains and Middle TN. This system will be more
dynamic with bulk shear pushing to 30+ knots and dew points in the
upper 50s to mid 60s ahead of the front. There is uncertainty
with the timing of the front and how much CAPE we see build in
ahead of the front in our area. Right now parameters for more
organized thunderstorms and the better forcing is off to our west
over southern MO into northern AK and into western TN during the
afternoon when CAPE is highest. Some of the ensembles and clusters
do show a faster frontal passage which would push the threat for
organized thunderstorms more east and possibly into our far west.
Will have to keep an eye on trends if that happens but for now the
severe threat will overall remain to the west of the TN River
with a very low threat for a strong storm or two from the TN River
east to about Nashville. Timing right now would favor the
evening. The front will continue to push east through Middle TN
Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Highs will remain warm on Saturday pushing into the upper 70s to
mid 80s but cooler air starts to filter in behind the front on
Sunday. Highs will fall back into the 70s. Quiet and dry weather
returns next week as an upper level ridge slowly builds back over
the region. This will also bring a gradual warming trend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
VFR wind forecast for Middle TN airfields today. Winds are NE at
8-10 kts this afternoon with gusts up to 20 kts. Calming winds are
expected after sunset with continued clear conditions.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      54  82  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    52  82  55  80 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     48  75  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       51  82  55  80 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     50  76  51  74 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      50  74  50  71 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   50  80  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   51  81  54  80 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        52  80  54  80 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Sizemore

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion