Volant, Pennsylvania Weather Forecast Discussion

671
FXUS61 KPBZ 281155
AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
755 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions expected through the upcoming week. Above normal
temperatures through mid-week will then lessen to more
seasonable values.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Patchy fog this morning.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Building high pressure resulting in limited cloud coverage, and
combined with light winds has resulted in areas of dense fog
this morning, and an Dense Fog Advisory was issued for areas
where coverage warrant an advisory. Elsewhere, a Special
Weather Statement was issued to address the more isolated areas
of dense fog. MRi values that support this, as well as forecast
analogs.
As surface high pressure establishes across the Great Lakes, dry
conditions will be maintained and temperatures will trend
warmer with increasing heights today.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Dry and warm conditions continue
- Increased cloud coverage Monday
----------------------------------------------------------------
Dry conditions continue Monday as high pressure remains in
control. The only notable difference will be an increase in
cloud coverage from the southeast with moisture extending north
from now Tropical Depression Nine. Highs are thus likely to be a
few degrees cooler than Sunday, especially south and east of
Pittsburgh where cloud cover resides for the majority of the
day.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Continued dry conditions
- Temperatures back to near normal by midweek
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Although there is always some uncertainty when tropical systems
are thrown into the mix (TD9 set to approach the Carolinas by
Tuesday and Hurricane Humberto remaining well offshore),
overall, general model consensus points towards continued dry
conditions with upper ridging. Latest NBM guidance shows a
probability of just one hundredth of precipitation to remain 5%
or lower during any 24 hour period until almost the second week
of October. Above normal temperatures will drop to near normal
values by mid-week as heights lessen. There is fairly high
confidence in this as 25th-75th spreads are largely around only
3 degrees by this time. This will
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IFR to LIFR fog is expected to continue for the first couple
hours of the 12z TAF cycle before dissipating. VFR is expected
thereafter through the period under building high pressure.
.OUTLOOK....
VFR is expected through late week under high pressure.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for PAZ014>016-
     020>022-029-031-073>078.
OH...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ050-059-
     069.
WV...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for WVZ001>004-
     012-021-509>514.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...88
NEAR TERM...88
SHORT TERM...88
LONG TERM...88
AVIATION...Cermak

NWS PBZ Office Area Forecast Discussion