Warren, Indiana Weather Forecast Discussion

264
FXUS63 KIWX 060602
AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
202 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mainly dry over the next 7 days. Only a 20% chance of showers
  or sprinkles north of US-6 Saturday night.
- Cool temperatures this weekend trend warmer, into the 80s, by
  the middle of next week.
- Dangerous swimming conditions expected for Lake Michigan
  beaches through Sunday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 244 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
A 992mb low is swirling over northern Ontario, its cold front now
east of our area. Breezy westerly wind today subsides not only with
a loss of daytime mixing but with the 45 knot 850-mb jet departing
to the east as well. Tonight, clouds associated with a weak low
moving through the mid-Mississippi will provide some insulation
overnight helping to keep temperatures from bottoming out, but
still nearly 10 degrees below normal.
Broad troughing in remains in place through the weekend with this
large upper-low lingering over the eastern Great Lakes. Can`t rule
out lake effect showers Saturday night or Sunday as an embedded
shortwave ripples east across Lake Michigan. Duration will be
brief with high pressure quickly coming in to disturb
equilibrium levels. High pressure remains in place through the
coming week promising dry conditions (and an increasing risk of
drought). Temperatures will gradually warm back into the 80s by
midweek as the western US ridge finally tracks east.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 152 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025
VFR conditions with westerly winds are expected through the
period. Gusts up to around 22kts are possible during the
afternoon hours. Cloud cover will be variable between 5-10kft at
times-with general high clouds around.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Beach Hazards Statement until 4 AM CDT early this morning for
     INZ103.
OH...None.
MI...Beach Hazards Statement through Sunday afternoon for MIZ177-
     277.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Sunday for LMZ043-046.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Brown
AVIATION...MCD

NWS IWX Office Area Forecast Discussion