147 FXUS63 KILX 131048 AFDILXArea Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 548 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Little to no rain is expected through Friday, resulting in continued drought conditions.
- Better chances for beneficial rain (40-60%) return by the weekend.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 211 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Surface analysis early this morning shows an expansive area of ridging stretched from southeast Canada southwestward through the Great Lakes States. Further west, a weak cold front attached to a low in south-central Manitoba stretches from the Upper Mississippi Valley into central Kansas. Moisture transport near and ahead of the front has resulted in scattered showers, with light radar echoes noted west of the IL River as of 2 am. However, much drier air in place over a good portion of central Illinois has prevented a lot of this from reaching the ground with just a few ASOS/AWOS sites reporting rain occasionally. The latest suite of CAMS suggest most of this activity will dry up as it approaches I-55 by mid morning.
Aside from the low chances (
NWS ILX Office Area Forecast Discussion