554 FXUS64 KHUN 071821 AFDHUNArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 121 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
...New NEAR TERM...
.NEAR TERM... (Tonight) Issued at 121 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
The temperature forecast remains on track as u70s overspread much of northern AL and southern middle TN. Multiple surface convergence boundaries ahead of the main cold front continue to sprout scattered light to moderate rain across western portions of the forecast region, and are expected to continue advancing eastward throughout the afternoon. During the late afternoon into overnight period an abundance of cloud cover should continue as the main cold front advances through the area, bringing moderate chances of precipitation (PoPs 50%-60%) for most of the forecast area. Persisting cloud cover will allow low temperatures to remain mild in the m60s-u60s as precipitation ends early tomorrow morning.
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.SHORT TERM... (Wednesday through Thursday Night) Issued at 1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
A cooler and drier airmass begins to advect in from the northwest in the wake of a passing cold front. As a result, the short term forecast period will feel like Fall with afternoon highs Wed in the mid to upper 70s and Thu in the low to mid 70s. Overnight lows will feel refreshing in the low to mid 50s. Biggest weather concern during this period is an increase in gradient winds in between the high across the Midwest and the trough across the East Coast. Winds Wed afternoon are forecast to gust 20-25 mph before diminishing in the evening. Otherwise, enjoy the Fall weather.
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.LONG TERM... (Friday through Monday) Issued at 1040 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Data from the latest suite of global models continues to suggest that a mid-level trough (initially across GA/SC) will evolve into a rather deep closed low as it drifts northeastward in the general vicinity of the southeastern Atlantic Coast over the course of the long term period. Although this development will occur in response to an intense high-level speed max digging south- southeastward through our region this weekend, it still appears as if our forecast area will remain on the dry/western side of the low, with little to no opportunity for additional rainfall (aside from a few afternoon showers along the Cumberland Plateau on Friday). Highs will slowly warm from the l-m 70s on Friday into the u70s-l80s by Monday, with pleasantly cool overnight lows in the u40s-l50s.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Several areas of showers are slowly moving off to the ENE this afternoon across northern AL. MVFR ceilings continue to persist with some additional lowering below fuel alternate expected as the rain moves over the terminals. Winds may gust to 15 knots at times this afternoon/evening. A cold front approaching from the west will shift the winds from S/SW to NW, this will also coincide with the precip ending. Low clouds likely remain in place with IFR cigs possible in the morning. Confidence is still low in that occurring so left as SCT cloud deck.
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.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. &&
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NEAR TERM...AM SHORT TERM....GH LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...GH
NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion