566 FXUS64 KSHV 121200 AFDSHVArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 700 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
- Continued stretch of warm, dry, and mostly sunny weather through much of the upcoming week as ridging remains in place
- Some hope for change arrives late this week and into next weekend, although it is still early to have much confidence
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
(Ctrl+V) If you feel like you`ve heard this forecast before, honestly you`re not wrong. Go ahead and check your clipboard, or look at the previous discussion, because we`ve basically hit the "copy and paste"button on the forecast for the week. Sunday will remain on theme, with afternoon highs comfortably parked in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees across most of the region. A few of our metro spots may even tiptoe just above 90 before the day is done. This steady and predictable pattern will continue well into the week ahead, as a sturdy ridge overhead keeps the skies dry and the sun mostly in charge. Each day`s highs will hover in that same upper-80s to low-90s range, and rain chances will remain virtually nonexistent.
However, by late week and into next weekend, our long-range guidance, hints that the ridge may loosen its grip some across our region. Fairly rare for the GFS and ECMWF to agree on something this far out, but nonetheless, we might have something to hope for by next weekend. This is thanks to a developing trough over the central U.S. that could start to shift the pattern. If this happens, it could possibly allow some moisture and rain chances to sneak back into the forecast. We are still about a week out, so timing and moisture availability will remain in question but at least there is a little something showing up on the forecast for those tired of this "Groundhog Day" stretch of sunny, warm, and dry weather. /33/
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 655 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
For the 12/12z TAF period...VFR conditions will remain, with clouds streaming across the region during the TAF period. Winds will become ESE/SE around 5-10 mph during the period. /20/
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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 90 63 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 87 57 88 58 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 86 58 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 90 61 91 61 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 86 57 88 56 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 89 63 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 89 60 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 90 60 89 59 / 0 0 0 0
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.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...33 AVIATION...20
NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion